Air combat is a complex subject,
and
one that is changing rapidly on a global scale. A advanced country
that is slowly developing its air combat capabilities, can be
‘leapfrogged’ and overmatched by one currently less
capable, but where development is more focused and rapid. A case of
the quick and the dead.
There are some relatively
simple,
logical observations and analytical tools that reveal enduring and
essential truths about air combat. A determined and well-resourced
country can easily find a capability-growth path to achieving the
level of airspace control it requires for its national security.
Su-35
demonstrator #709 displays a mix of R-27 Alamo and R-77 Adder BVR
missiles (KnAAPO).
Regional Air Dominance
is a
Persistent Requirement
Australia has “Regional Air
Dominance” (RAD) as part of its National strategy and military
posture, and RAD will feature prominently in the next iteration of
the Defence White Paper.
The reason for this persistence
is
that the alternative is logically untenable. Once a country loses
control of its airspace, it becomes vulnerable - its military,
civilian population and national assets can be attacked and destroyed
at will by an opponent.
There are two dimensions to
Regional
Air Dominance: distance-from-the-nation and future-developments.
Distance-from-the-nation coverage in arcs that include nations to the
North and West reveal current airpower capabilities ranging from
‘none’ to ‘highly capable’.
Future-developments also cover this broad range, remembering that in
1990, India was practically insolvent and China had large numbers of
obsolete aircraft. Today they are both highly capable, and are
developing their air power in ‘leaps and bounds’.
So, depending on how far is
travelled in either dimension, the air power discovery journey
quickly finds there are two obstacles to Regional Air Dominance: the
proliferation of highly lethal air combat aircraft (and their
associated weapons and supporting systems) and surface-based
Integrated Air Defence Systems (IADS) which effectively protect a
volume of airspace.
In Australia’s Region, there
exist very capable air combat aircraft fleets made by Sukhoi, MiG and
Boeing, and these fleets are expanding. As a baseline example, there
is the vectored thrust Sukhoi/KnAAPO/Irkut Su-30MKI/MKM, fitted with
the N011M radar, capable electronic warfare systems, and weapons that
overmatch those of US origin in range, agility and terminal homing
seeker sensors. In the very near future (2010), the new
Su-35BM/Su-35-1 becomes operational, followed soon after by the
PAK-FA. Each of these aircraft is planned to achieve Operational
Capability before the F-35 JSF.
Given the US Air Force view that
the
F-35 is an aircraft designed as a battlefield interdictor, intended
to operate under the cover of the more capable F-22A Raptor, it is
not credible that the Lightning II is a weapon system that will
reliably impose Regional Air Dominance against such opposition. The
F/A-18A HUG and F/A-18F Super Hornet are even less able to do so.
Loadout options for Su-35BM/Su-35-1: 5 x
Long Range AAM (R-172/AAM-L); 8 x R-27ER1/R1 Alamo; 4 x R-27ET1/T1 or
R-27EP1/P1 Alamo; 12 x R-77/RVV-E Adder; 6 x R-73E Archer. The loadout
for the active radar seeker equipped R-27EA would be 8 rounds (KnAAPO).
The ‘Live’ and ‘Kill’
Chains: D.I.E.D.
Air combat aircraft are killing
machines. While this may be a ‘politically incorrect’
statement, it is the truth.
There is a sequence of events
require to complete any air combat engagement: Detect, Identify,
Engage, Destroy. Events must be completed in that order – i.e.
they are ‘chained’.
The 'Live Chain' is what it
takes to
survive in airspace contested by an opponent, while the Kill Chain
is what it takes to prevail in combat.
An air combat aircraft will only
achieve its primary mission of killing its opposition if it can stay
alive. The ‘Live Chain’ ensures the air combat aircraft
survives to implement a ‘Kill Chain’ against an
adversary.
These are the four steps in the
D.I.E.D. chain:
Detect: Using on-board or
off-board sensors, opposing air combat aircraft or key IADS
components must be located to allow weapons to be brought to bear;
Identify: While there may
be
many objects detected the objective of this step is to determine
which of these objects are actual adversaries, which are allies,
which are neutral, which are false targets and which are decoys;
Engage: the ‘shooter’
must select targets that are actual adversaries and manoeuvre to a
release position inside its weapon’s engagement envelope;
Destruction: On arrival
at
the target, the weapon must be effective at killing its target.

The DIED chain from a pilot's
perspective (C. Kopp).
The ‘Live’ Chain:
Survival is the first requirement in air combat – even if it
means leaving the battle-space to fight another day. These are the
steps in the 'Live chain':
Detect:
If possible, deny
an
adversary’s sensors detection. ‘Low Observable’
designs deflect or absorb probing radar beams, but must be effective
across the sensor spectrum which begins with low frequency radio
wavelengths and ends in the millimetre radar band. Passive sensors
span the radio-frequency bands, through the infrared up to the
ultraviolet bands. Emission control of aircraft systems is vital, as
passive radiofrequency sensors can find and track emissions from
radars and computer networking terminals, while infrared sensors can
detect hot airframe components and engine efflux. Aircrew must adopt
an approach that avoids detection – this may be terrain masking
or presenting an aspect of the aircraft where reflections and
emissions in the direction of a detector are minimised.
Identify:
Make it
difficult
for an adversary to ‘sort the wheat from the chaff’ by
careful use of emissions and objects that ‘spoof’
detection systems. Fly approach patterns that appear to be
non-aggressive. Return a response to a detection probe that looks
like a different object, in a different location.
Engage:
If the adversary
appears to have a sensor lock, break it with electronic emissions,
seduce it with decoys, or by presenting a less detectable aspect to
radar. Manoeuvre to stay outside the known engagement range and
altitude of opposing weapons. If an incoming weapon is detected, use
the same DIED methods against its tracking systems. Generally,
aircraft onboard and surface based sensors are ‘smarter’
than sensors in the seekers of engaging missiles, so deceiving or
defeating a 'not so smart' weapon may be a way to frustrate an
attack.
Destruction:
Having a
warhead
explode at a lethal range from a target is a difficult task, and an
engaging weapon can be defeated in its terminal phase. Powerful,
directed emissions can disrupt tracking. Chaff and flares can
obscure the target, although these measures are being increasingly
negated by on-board signal processing in ‘smart missiles’. Present a
convincing false target with a towed decoy or release
free-flying decoys that confuse the attacking weapon. Finally, a
determined manoeuvre can move the airframe outside fusing distance,
especially after a long flight when the incoming weapon has little
capability to turn sharply.
The ‘Kill Chain'.
An
effective ‘Kill Chain’ capability is primarily built in
the design phase of a aircraft weapon system - an air combat weapon
system developer must ‘know thine enemy’ and combine
aircraft, sensor and weapons in a way that overmatch potential
enemies’ capabilities, assuring that an engagement results a
‘live’ approach until weapons release, a ‘kill’
result against an opponent, and then surviving the disengagement from
the fight. Accurately forecasting potential opponents' air combat
capabilities is an essential part of this process.
If we wish to assess a
potential
or
actual opponent's capabilities to achieve a ‘kill’, the
DIED chain can be used very effectively, as follows:
Detect:
Sensors must be
optimised to probe at those frequencies where targets give reliable
signatures. Cooperative detections, using on-board or off-board
sensors can often defeat low observability from some aspects and at
some frequencies; for example a pair of air combat aircraft might
force a low observable aircraft to reveal a highly reflective
surface, or a low frequency ground-based sensor might find a
persistent return, which can be uploaded via a radio link or network
to a fighter aircraft or missile in flight.
Identify:
Combinations of
sensors can discriminate and identify targets – an aircraft
with no high frequency reflections and strong low frequency
reflections is likely to be a ‘stealth’ target. Similarly, combinations
of radar and infrared detections can often
identify the source. Many platforms emit distinctive waveforms –
examples: a specific ‘Low Probability of Intercept’
radar, a JTIDS/Link-16 network terminal. Height and speed of the
detection can eliminate narrow the possible identity of the
detection.
Engage:
Most importantly,
if
one aircraft has a flight envelope superior to another (in terms of
speed, endurance, altitude, range and manoeuvre), then the time and
place of the engagement can be dictated by the superior aircraft
which becomes the hunter, and the other the quarry. Cooperative
engagement is becoming increasingly important. One sensor system may
obtain a persistent, identified track, which can be passed to a
‘shooter’ for execution. Aggressive action can draw a
defensive response, such as firing a missile; a tactical
disengagement can force a miss. This engage-disengage cycle is
repeated until the quarry runs out of either shots or fuel, or both,
turns for home, and is then hunted down and killed with impunity.
Destruction:
Selection
and
carriage of effective weapons and having capacity for multiple shots
has a substantial effect on lethality. Examples are weapons with the
capacity to engage at long range, that use seekers that operate in
different parts of the spectrum, that have high terminal manoeuvre
performance, and have ‘smart’ real-time processing to
defeat terminal defensive measures. Warheads need to be large enough
and smart enough, to kill, rather than maim the victim aircraft.
Conclusion
Success in air combat
is
achieved by
realising that losing air dominance is not an option for a sovereign
nation. Analysing and forecasting long-term tends in air combat
weapons systems and the Concept of Operations of potential
adversaries is essential, especially when the technology and the
tactics of air combat are developing so rapidly. A technology that
confers an advantage today, e.g. ‘Low Observability’ (LO)
i.e. 'stealth' may be a future liability – for example if a LO
platform’s performance was sacrificed to achieve stealth and it
is subsequently detected in another part of the spectrum.
The ‘Detect, Identify,
Engage,
Destroy’ (D.I.E.D) is a useful analytical tool to maximise a
nation’s air combat capability. Air combat systems must ‘live’
by disrupting an adversary’s DIED kill processes. Then the
DIED chain must be executed as a ‘kill’ process to
destroy adversaries and achieve victory in battle.
National security
comes from
having
the ‘right stuff’ when needed. Ad
hoc solutions based on aircraft choices which are ‘convenient’, ‘accessible’, ‘politically saleable’ or otherwise
compromised in fundamental capabilities will not lead
Australia down this essential path. An understanding of
developments in technology, evolving concepts of operations, and the
national will to invest in air combat systems that are always
superior to potential adversaries, is the path to sovereign air
dominance.
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