|
Part 1 Issues and Choices
Australia has been arguably in the unique position, for many
decades, of being geographically separated from areas of significant
strategic tension. During the Cold War, the nearest Soviet bases were
in Vietnam. Tensions with Indonesia, Australia's nearest neighbour,
abated after the collapse of the Soviet aligned Sukarno regime during
the mid sixties. As a result of these circumstances, Australia enjoyed
the luxury of modest defence budgets, of the order of 2% GDP or less,
over a period of more than three decades.
This favourable situation is now
unravelling, as we see gradual shifts in the balance of economic and
military power in Asia, and resulting realignments in the perceived
interests of regional players.
Of most immediate interest has
been a substantial change in the relationship between Indonesia and
Australia. Indonesia, an archipelagic multi-ethnic, multi-religious
nation state scattered across an island chain from Sumatra to New
Guinea, came into existence after the Second World War. Javanese
nationalists forced the departure of the Dutch colonial administration,
and set up their own state under the leadership of the volatile
President Sukarno. Sukarno, an ardent nationalist, participated in the
Japanese occupational government in Indonesia and like many Indonesian
nationalists, collaborated with the Japanese occupiers whom they
regarded to have liberated them from Dutch colonial rule. The new
Indonesian state was indeed patterned in many respects upon the
Japanese WW2 model of government, with the Army occupying many key
positions of power in the civil administration.
The strategic importance of
Indonesia to Australia cannot be understated. If occupied by a hostile
power, Indonesia becomes the springboard for launching air and naval
attacks into Australia's economically vital but sparsely populated
north. During WW2, the Japanese Imperial Naval Air Forces and Army Air
Forces sortied from Indonesian territory to bomb Darwin and other
Australian targets in the far north. In a contemporary scenario,
Indonesian territory is ideal for launching air, naval and Intermediate
Range Ballistic Missile attacks against targets in Australia. Of no
less importance is that much of the heavy shipping carrying raw
material and gas exports from Australia to destinations in Asia must
travel through the straits in Indonesia, and air traffic to key Asian
hubs such as Singapore, Hong Kong, Bangkok and Japan usually passes
through Indonesian air space.
By the same token, access to
airfields and ports in Indonesian territory provides a valuable
geographical advantage to Australia in resisting any external incursion
into Australia's area of interest, such as that achieved by Japan in
1942.
Australia's relationship with the
developing Indonesia was seldom stable, and governments of the period
tended to align with US policy positions on Indonesia, aimed at
placating the Sukarno regime and avoiding complete seduction by the
expansionist Soviet regime of the period. This policy, which saw the
Dutch portion of New Guinea ceded to Indonesia in the late fifties,
proved to be ineffective. Indeed it would appear to have actually
encouraged the ambitious Sukarno, who by the early sixties engaged in a
policy termed "Konfrontasi", aimed at intimidating and destabilising
the fragile new state of Malaysia, still recovering from the trauma of
a long running communist insurgency. Australian and British troops and
air power played a decisive role in crushing the Beijing sponsored
Malaysian communists.
Konfrontasi saw a Soviet backed
Indonesia sabre rattling with shiny new MiG-21s, Il-28s, Tu-16s and
SA-2s, opposed by a RAAF equipped with subsonic CAC Sabres and GAF
Canberras and an RAF sorely tasked with balancing the Soviet threat in
Europe. Australian and British SAS, and British Gurkhas engaged and
destroyed a great many Indonesian insurgent raiding parties into
Malaysian territory, while deployments of RAF V-bombers from the UK
deterred the Indonesian regime from escalating beyond low level
infiltration and sabotage operations. Indeed this was the historical
context in which the Australian government ordered 24 GD F-111C
strategic bombers, intended at the time to provide the capability to
deliver conventional and if necessary, nuclear weapons against
Indonesian targets. The prospect of battling 180 million belligerent,
Soviet backed Indonesians, was a serious concern to Australian
governments of that period.
By the mid sixties Indonesia
changed its alignment, as a communist led coup against the Army
dominated regime was crushed by the Army, the ABRI, which is alleged to
have massacred several hundred thousand communists and their
sympathisers. The Indonesian domino in the Soviet grand strategy to
control the world's shipping choke points fell to the West, as the war
in Vietnam escalated with increasing US and Australian deployments of
troops and air assets.
The new Indonesian regime quickly
aligned with the US, and was supported with military aid from the US
and Australia in following years. Indeed, the strategic position of
Indonesia was deemed so important, that successive Australian
governments turned a blind eye to ongoing Indonesian violations of
human rights, and the illegal annexation of the former Portuguese
colony of East Timor in 1975. This policy of "appeasement" continued
until very recently, with Australian governments providing extensive
training and advice to the Indonesian military, the TNI. A stable and
strong Indonesia was seen as an important buffer, and a means of
minimising defence expenditure.
The policy of engagement with
Indonesia began to unravel with the economic collapse in South East
Asia, and the continuing growth of nationalist independence movements
in various Indonesian provinces, especially East Timor. Timor became
Jakarta's Vietnam, an ongoing insurgency with popular support sapping
increasingly scarce military resources, while damaging Indonesia's
reputation in the US and EU, key sources of economic aid and
investment. Australia became heavily involved in the political effort
to resolve the Timor issue peacefully, as such a resolution was seen to
be vital to maintaining Indonesia's stability and long term economic
growth.
The UN sponsored independence
ballot in East Timor precipitated a serious political breakdown between
Canberra and Jakarta, as the Jakarta regime, largely controlled by the
TNI, opted for a scorched earth policy in Timor. TNI led militias
burned out most towns in East Timor, killing large numbers of
civilians. Under significant pressure from the UN and the US, Jakarta
conceded and allowed the entry of an Australian led UN
peace-enforcement force, Interfet. Indonesia's TNI rapidly vacated the
field, in the knowledge that a direct confrontation with Australia's
highly capable and modern military was a no win proposition. In any
escalation, Australian air assets operating from Darwin and Tindal
would have rapidly resolved the outcome in the favour of the UN.
Indonesia's ultra-nationalists
and the rather narcissistic TNI leadership were politically humiliated
at home and abroad, and Jakarta continues to maintain a very frosty
diplomatic relationship with Australia, despite ongoing political
overtures from Canberra.
The long term outcome in the
region is unclear. Indonesia still faces the potential for
Balkanisation, with Java playing the role of a Serbia trying to
maintain control of an increasingly unstable empire. Of no less concern
was the ambivalent role in this crisis played by the Malaysians, whose
President Dr Mahatir opted to exploit the situation to continue with
his ongoing theme of throwing public insults at all things Australian.
Neither Indonesia nor Malaysia
have the capability to threaten Australia, indeed both countries have
been long term recipients of extensive Australian military aid. Of much
greater concern are events further afield, as India and the PRC
continue to escalate their ongoing conventional and nuclear strategic
arms race. At the time of writing India had acquired via lease former
Soviet Tu-22M3 Backfire bombers, Ilyushin Il-78/A-50 Mainstay AWACS,
while continuing negotiations for further purchases of Su-30MKI
Flankers and a former Soviet CTOL carrier, the Gorshkov, with an air
wing of MiG-29K fighters. The PRC has initiated the acquisition of the
Il-78/A-50I AWACS, using a Russian airframe equipped with a state of
the art Israeli ELTA L-band phased array, previously bid for
Australia's Wedgetail AWACS requirement, while ordering up to 60
Su-30MKK multirole Flankers on top of extant orders for up to 300 or
more Su-27SK Flankers. Both are shopping for inflight refuelling
assets.
While the arms race between India
and the PRC will not peak out until 2010-2015, it is of major concern
since both players are clearly building up the force structures
required for a modern air expeditionary force. While neither have the
capability at this time to properly exploit their latest purchases,
10-15 years of training effort and expected evolution in doctrine will
see this change.
Why this should be of concern in
Australia, and is curiously enough completely ignored by most
Australian foreign policy commentators in the lay media, is because
South East Asia is likely to become an area of direct strategic
competition between India and the PRC. The fundamental cause lies
within the economic growth of India and China which are both developing
an increasing dependency upon imported oil, since neither have
significant domestic reserves. Indeed a CIA assessment some years ago
suggested that the combined needs of the PRC and India by the mid 21st
century could be double the world's current consumption. Therefore the
PRC will be increasingly dependent upon the super-tanker traffic
through the straits of Malacca and Sunda, bringing oil from the Persian
Gulf. Shutting off this flow in a future confrontation between India
and the PRC could cause decisive damage to the PRC's economy and
military posture.
It takes little effort to
conclude that a fragmented, politically and militarily weak Indonesia
and Malaysia would be highly susceptible to political and military
pressure in the charged political atmosphere of a confrontation between
India and the PRC.
Effective deterrence to any moves
by India or the PRC, or both, into South East Asia could be readily
effected by deploying RAAF assets into bases in Malaysia and Indonesia.
However, should current political trends persist, this prospect is very
unlikely. Indeed, between the time of the Timor crisis and the writing
of this article, Indonesia's recently elected President Wahid has made
two visits to Beijing amidst repeated statements about realigning
Jakarta, and forming a close relationship with the PRC, at the expense
of relations with its hitherto principal benefactor, the West.
Indonesia could thus be expected to deny Australian access to the
region, to curry favour with Beijing, in any such crisis situation.
For Australia to maintain the
level of strategic security it held until recently, will henceforth
require the ability to cover those portions of South East Asia which
were previously accessible from bases in the region, directly from
bases on the Australian continent. Without access to runways in
Malaysia and Indonesia, the only choice is to deploy sufficient Air-Air
Refuelling (AAR) assets to cover the same geography from the chain of
RAAF airfields across the north of the continent, since the prospect of
deploying multiple CTOL carriers is not economically within Australia's
reach.
Analysis performed by the author
indicates that this could be effectively achieved with a modestly sized
force of large widebody, strategic tankers. A strategic tanker is an
aircraft in the payload radius performance of the DC-10, L-1011 or 747,
such as the RAF Tristar or the USAF KC-10A Extender. A number between
12 and 16 aircraft, subject to the offload performance of the type,
would allow useful numbers of RAAF combat aircraft to cover radii of
about 2,000 NMI from the Australian coastline. This would provide
direct deterrence in the vital region surrounding the Straits of
Malacca and Sunda, the most likely future strategic flashpoint in the
region.
A very useful political side
effect of deploying such a strategic tanker force is that it denies
both Indonesia and Malaysia the political bargaining chip of
withholding basing access in any future crisis. Having access to their
runways would be convenient but not essential for Australia to maintain
a credible deterrent posture against any possible future Indian or PRC
strategic incursions into the region.
In this manner a strategic tanker
force resolves a number of developing political and strategic problems
(the following portions of this article are derived from RAAF APSC
Working paper 81, by the author, to be published early in 2000. The
previous portions were commissioned by Air Power International/Strike
Publications).
There is another strategic
consideration. Should the difficulties experienced to date with
Australia's Collins class SSKs persist, there is genuine potential for
a lack of long range maritime interdiction capability in the coming
decade. The deployment of a strategic tanker force of substantial size
provides insurance against future problems with the class.
Considering that the aggregate
Harpoon loadout for 82 WG is between 80 and 140 rounds, the latter
assuming Harpoon capable F-111Gs, the aggregate maritime strike
firepower is of a similar order to the 138 (23 x 6) Harpoons or
torpedos carried by the Collins SSKs. However, the Collins has a combat
radius of the order of 3,000 NMI or better. Therefore to offset the
loss in capability which may result from future problems with the
submarines, enough AAR capability must exist to support the F-111 to a
similar combat radius, in adequate numbers.
Supporting a pair of F-111s to
3,000 NMI will require a large widebody tanker. Therefore to match the
firepower of four Collins SSKs at 3,000 NMI, we require about twenty
four F-111s and twelve large widebody tankers. It is a convenient
coincidence that this number closely fits the parallel needs of
deterrence operations within a 2,000 NMI radius.
As noted earlier, and evidenced
by recent events in Ambon, Borneo and Aceh, we are seeing an ongoing
breakdown in the functions of civil and military authority in
Indonesian provinces. This situation may or may not stabilise, and much
will depend upon future political decisions in Jakarta.
The rise of Islamic
fundamentalism in Aceh could well stimulate problems in the Southern
Phillipines. The result may be any number of localised "Timor
contingencies" in the region, which regional governments may not be
able to manage themselves, if current trends continue.
Under these circumstances it may
be necessary to rapidly airlift in a peace enforcement or peacekeeping
force. Whether such a force comprises primarily Australian personnel,
or South East Asian personnel, the circumstances will most likely
require the very quick insertion of a force of several thousand troops
and supporting equipment. For such a force to be effective it needs to
be at least the size of one to two brigades, mostly comprising
infantry, special forces, police and supporting vehicles, the heaviest
of which would be armoured personnel carriers.
Given existing US commitments it
is not reasonable nor prudent to expect the immediate "on-call"
availability of USAF Air Mobility Command assets. This would especially
true if the US is managing another crisis elsewhere in the world.
Only Australia has the skills
base in the region to to lead and manage such an operation, and
therefore if it is to perform a leadership role, it will have to
provide the heavy airlift.
While commercial transports
modified as AAR tankers are mostly not well suited to carrying heavy
equipment like armoured personnel carriers and tanks, required for high
intensity combat operations, they are adequate for the transport of
most of the equipment required for peacekeeping operations. Situations
where heavy equipment does need to be lifted into theatre will most
likely arise in the context of a larger, coalition campaign, where
access to USAF C-141, C-5 and C-17 aircraft will be available.
Experience during the nineties indicates that only 5-20% of the total
airlift capacity requires the use of specialised RORO and short field /
outsize cargo capable military airlifters. Indeed the principal
impediment to the wider US military use of commercial freighters during
the nineties was a shortage of deployable ground loading equipment,
thereby forcing the use of specialised military airlifters. This has
been remedied by the USAF's fielding of the capable SEI 60K Tunner
mobile loader, in 1997. The Tunner can service all USAF airlifters and
commercial freighter types.
It may be argued that commercial
freighter types are less suitable for such airlift operations since
many of the runways in the immediate areas of interest are of poor
quality, and only accessible by military airlifters such as the C-130
and C-17. This is true, but mostly irrelevant, since it is not
operationally prudent nor sensible to fly heavy airlifters into a
marginally secure area, where they could be exposed to MANPADS, AAA,
small arms and even mortar fire on the ground. Indeed the USAF's
intended 21st century airlift strategy uses a two tier scheme, with
C-17 for heavy lift into secure major airfields and C-130 for
distribution to less secure forward operating bases.
A single large widebody transport
can lift between 300 and 500 troops, which means that a dozen such
aircraft can move a brigade in the time to takes to load, cover the
distance, unload, and return. When carrying equipment and supplies,
each will typically lift between 75 and 110 tonnes. Therefore a dozen
such aircraft can move between 900 and 1320 tonnes of equipment and
supplies in the time to takes to load, cover the distance, unload and
return.
The participation of Australian
personnel in other UN sponsored peacekeeping operations is highly
probable, and likely to be in far flung parts of the world. We can thus
expect a strong and ongoing demand for extended range airlift,
especially of personnel and supplies. Lifting refugees proved to be
demanding during the Kosovo crisis, and similar contingencies are
likely to arise again. The rapid delivery and distribution of
humanitarian aid is another very likely contingency, again one where
the ability to rapidly move bulk freight is of considerable value. The
evacuation of Australian nationals from foreign countries in crisis
situations is another scenario where a rapid demand for passenger lift
may arise at very short notice.
It is another convenient accident
of circumstance, that the required fleet size of strategic tankers for
deterrence operations and long range maritime strike operations happens
to closely fit the sizing needs of an airlift force required to support
likely ground force operations in the region.
A useful opportunity thus exists
to provide the RAAF with a substantial AAR tanker fleet while
fulfilling developing airlift requirements. Equipping strategic airlift
capable freighter aircraft with booms, hose/drum equipment and lower
deck fuel cells, means that the ADF could exploit these airframes to
plug a long extant gap in RAAF capabilities.
Therefore, by appropriate choice
of aircraft type it is possible to address the future needs for
strategic AAR and strategic airlift with a single package of aircraft,
which offers very significant economies across the board.
A factor which should not be
discounted is the utility of air power in supporting ground forces on
regional peacekeeping deployments, should the political conditions
under which such a force is deployed later deteriorate. Using a dual
role strategic tanker/transport force rather than a dedicated RORO
airlifter force means that any Bosnia-like scenario can be deterred or
resolved by the focussed application of air power, directly from the
Australian mainland.
Because the performance
requirements of a strategic tanker are more demanding than those for a
widebody troop and freight transport, these must be the driving
constraints in the choice of airframe. Therefore the following analysis
focusses on meeting the needs of strategic AAR first and foremost.
Issues and Choices for a Strategic Tanker/Transport Force
The choice of an airframe for a
Strategic Tanker/Transport Force will necessarily involve some
compromises in AAR capabilities, and airlift capabilities. This is an
inevitable reality where the only choice is the adaptation of existing
airframe designs.
The capabilities required for an
AAR tanker aircraft vary strongly with the intended mission profiles.
Where operational radius is modest, inside 500-1,000 NMI, the best
choices are small or medium sized airframes, since these allow for
larger numbers of tankers and much greater flexibility in operational
planning. This is especially true when supporting small reactive
defensive CAPs, or defensive point intercepts beyond the range of the
CAP fighters, since the cost in fuel burn of putting up the tanker is
minimised. However, as we extend the required operational radius out to
1000 NMI and beyond, the fuel offload performance of the aircraft
becomes increasingly important, favouring larger airframes. The
disadvantages of larger tankers are thus bigger operating costs for
shorter range, small offload missions, and greater demands upon runway
strength and length, assuming similar generation powerplants.
Therefore, the use of a
heavyweight strategic tanking capability imposes an implicit reduction
in operational flexibility for many shorter ranging roles, and a
potentially large increase in the operating costs of the AAR capability
for such operational employment, and peacetime training. This will be
offset by reduced crewing and thus crew training requirements of
heavyweight strategic tankers, an advantage which increases with the
increasing capability for offload performance.
Proponents of small and medium
sized tankers can correctly argue that big strategic tankers will cost
more to operate per aircraft in training use, however in any wartime
situation, small to medium sized tankers lack the offload performance
to support large strike packages over substantial distances without the
substantial use of tanker to tanker refuelling.
The classical case study of what
happens with small tankers when long range sorties are required is the
1982 Black Buck series of Vulcan strikes, where typically fifteen
Victor tankers were required to support a single Vulcan bomber !
To robustly place a package of
combat aircraft over a target at 2,000 NMI, and repeat this process as
needed by operational circumstances, will require genuine strategic
tankers. This is a reality which cannot be escaped.
The issue of flexibility and
training costs could be offset to a large degree by the adoption of a
two tier model, in which a heavyweight large widebody airframe is
employed for the operational strategic tanking role, and heavy airlift.
A much smaller narrowbody aircraft with low offload performance and low
fuel burn is then employed in small numbers for the reactive, low
offload role, and for most of the training activity.
The latter requirement could be
fulfilled by re-engining the extant Boeing 707-338C with the highly
fuel efficient CFM-56, and by fitting booms. A costlier alternative in
the short term, which yields a better return in fuel burn costs in the
longer term, is the acquisition of a newer narrowbody airframe equipped
with a boom and a fuselage hose/drum/drogue unit.
Two obvious candidates would be
the KC-757 proposed by Boeing as a KC-767 supplement, or a variant of
the Boeing 737, i.e. a KC-737 or 737-TT. Both of these aircraft provide
excellent operating costs, the 737 is widely used in Australia, the 757
offers common cockpit ratings to the 767, which is also widely used in
Australia. Both would incur the expense of a new AAR conversion design
and testing.
The capabilities required for a
strategic airlifter also vary with the intended mission profile. Where
the transport of personnel and palletised supplies are the principal
priority, and long runways of adequate strength are available, widebody
passenger transports and freighter conversions of such types are the
cheapest and most practical choice. However, if we wish to move heavier
equipment items such as the ASLAV (LAV-25) armoured personnel carriers,
artillery pieces, or even very large items such as Main Battle Tanks
(MBT), the demands upon the aircraft in terms of cargo bay floor
strength and loading door sizes increase significantly.
In practical terms this is
reflected in established types of aircraft used for the AAR tanker and
strategic airlift requirements. The USAF KC-135 reflects optimisation
for AAR operations, with a limited secondary personnel and freight
carrying capability. The USAF KC-10A reflects a requirement which
combined AAR support for fighters on long deployments, with the
associated ground support equipment carried as freight, to reduce
demands upon dedicated airlift assets. The C-141, C-5 and C-17 reflect
optimisation for the strategic airlift requirement, with no secondary
capability to provide AAR.
The dilemma for Australia in
selecting a type lies in finding a suitable compromise which provides
sufficient capability in both strategic AAR and airlift to be able to
address the requirements of both roles adequately. Since the only
production strategic airlifter at this time is the C-17 which is both
too expensive, too capable, and lacks the payload-radius and thus
offload performance for genuine strategic tanking, the only practical
choice is an adaptation of a commercial widebody airliner airframe.
In a sense Australia has little
if any choice in this game, since the acquisition of a large number of
medium sized tankers would not be competitive against a smaller number
of heavyweight tankers, given the need to offload large amounts of fuel
at long ranges. Deploying such a fleet in parallel with dedicated
airlifters would clearly involve prohibitive expenditure.
A significant operational benefit
to the use of a common type is that when performing the airlift role,
the aircraft can refuel their own fighter escorts, thereby reducing the
temptation an opponent may have to sortie a long range fighter such as
the Su-27/30 to engage the airlift. In effect, a heavyweight strategic
tanker/transport opens up the possibility of an "aerial convoy",
whereby the transports are accompanied by their own escort fighter
force.
The considerations which must be
applied in the selection of an aircraft type may be summarised thus:
- The ability to support a
refuelling boom, to refuel the F-111, the F-16 (RNZAF, SAF, USAF), the
F-15 (USAF) the Wedgetail AEW, USAF tankers and transports, and to
avoid imposing constraints upon any fighter selected under AIR 6000.
- The ability to support one or
more hose/drogue refuelling units, to refuel the F-18 (RAAF, USN), the
F-14 (USN), and to avoid imposing constraints upon any fighter selected
under AIR 6000.
- Sufficient offload performance
to support strike packages operating to combat radii of 2,000 NMI or
more, with a minimal number of airframes.
- The ability to support a
receptacle to accept fuel from other boom equipped tankers, thereby
improving operational flexibility.
- Best possible short field
performance and minimal demands upon runway load carrying capability,
and smallest possible span to maximise handling flexibility on the
ground.
- Highest possible economic
cruise speed and dash speed, to provide best possible flexibility and
survivability.
- Four or three engines are
preferable to two engines, for extended over water operations.
- Cabin volume for relief crews,
and if possible for racks of supplementary communications relay
equipment, such as satellite link or HF to UHF relays.
- Largest possible main deck
internal volume, especially width and height, to accommodate bulky
medium or low density freight.
- Sufficient lower deck volume
to accommodate dedicated fuel cells and associated plumbing to provide
a large, high flow rate AAR capability.
- Freight doors large enough to
accommodate the ASLAV (LAV-25) and if possible, M-113 APCs. The ASLAV
has a height of about 2.7 metres, a length of about 6.5 metres, and a
width of about 2.62 metres. The M-113 has a height of about 2.4 metres,
a width of about 2.7 metres, and a length of about 5.3 metres.
- Floor load bearing capability
sufficient to accommodate the ASLAV (LAV-25) and if possible, M-113
APCs. The ASLAV weighs about 11 tonnes empty and 13 tonnes full.
- Minimal requirements for
additional maintenance support in Australia, thereby decisively
favouring types already in service with local commercial operators.
- Minimal requirements for
aircrew training infrastructure in Australia, thereby decisively
favouring types already in service with local commercial operators.
- Minimal Non Recurring Expenses
(NRE) to implement a freight handing conversion, involving floor
strengthening, freight door installation and powered freight handling
equipment installation. This will favour those types for which existing
freighter and combi conversion programs are active.
- Minimal NRE to implement an
AAR boom and AAR hose/drogue hardware installation. This will favour
those types for which AAR tanker variant conversions have been
performed, and are or have been flown operationally.
- Should used airframes be
employed, these should have preferably been used for long haul
operations to minimise the number of accrued landing and takeoff
cycles.
These criteria may be employed
for comparing types which are currently available as new or used
airframes in the commercial marketplace.
Boeing/MDC DC-10/MD-11 Derivatives - KDC-10
and KMD-11
The Boeing DC-10/MD-11 family of
aircraft are the basis of the USAF KC-10A Extender, and the Dutch RNeAF
KDC-10-30CF tanker transports. These aircraft provide suitable offload
performance if equipped with lower deck fuel cells, and load carrying
capability for both AAR, freight and personnel airlift roles.
The USAF KC-10A has been flight
tested with a pair of wing mounted Mk.32B refuelling pods, in addition
to the internal Sargent Fletcher hose/drum/drogue unit and the AAR boom
installation. The current build MD-11 and DC-10-30 and -40 can be
readily adapted as freighters, as Boeing maintain an active conversion
program. The available lower deck floor strength provides for about 42
tonnes of auxiliary fuel in the DC-10-30/40 models, and about 50
tonnes of auxiliary fuel in the MD-11 models.
However this family of aircraft
is not operated in Australia, and thus there is no established base of
aircrew nor any domestic support infrastructure. Moreover, the standard
freight door is not of sufficient height to load Army APCs, thereby
limiting the usefulness of the aircraft in airlift operations to
personnel, freight and small vehicles.
Another factor is longer term
supportability, since the DC-10 has been out of production for some
years now and the MD-11 is being phased out. This is already cause for
some concern in USAF circles about the longer term economics of
supporting the KC-10A Extender, since it is expected that most
commercial operators will begin to wind down their DC-10 fleets between
2010 and 2015, resulting in a contraction of the commercial support
base and resulting growth in support costs.
For these reasons the DC-10/MD-11
family of aircraft are not a particularly suitable choice for this
application.
Lockheed L-1011 Tristar
Derivatives
The Lockheed L-1011 is the basis
of the RAF's Tristar tanker fleet. While a much better performer than
the competing DC-10 airframe, the Tristar has been out of production
for many years now and the remaining pool of airframes is tired.
Therefore long term supportability will be an issue for the Tristar.
Like the DC-10 derivatives, it is limited in the size of main deck
freight, and is not flown by any operator in Australia. No boom
conversion exists. Therefore it is even less suitable a choice than the
DC-10.
Boeing 767 Derivatives -
KC-767
The Boeing 767 family of
aircraft, specifically the -200C/F, -300C/F and -400C/F models, have
been proposed by Boeing as a replacement for the KC-135 family of
aircraft, and have been vigourously marketed by Boeing. However at this
time no AAR tanker conversion exists, and significant NRE would be
incurred. In terms of offload performance, the proposed Boeing KC-767
modestly outperforms the standard KC-135R, yet it provides a far
superior ability to carry main deck freight.
Therefore, for a smaller fleet
the KC-767 is inadequate for the outer radius envelope and thus not
competitive with a larger widebody airframe such as a KC-10A. The
other important limitation of the KC-767 is the limited freight door
size and main deck width which preclude the loading of Army APCs.
Current costs in the used aircraft market for the 767-300ER vary
between USD 51M and 88M, depending on the age and condition of the
aircraft. In terms of speed its Mach 0.8 performance is modest,
compared to the Mach 0.85 or better performance of the RAAF's Boeing
707 aircraft.
Therefore the KC-767 also is not
a good fit for the defined requirements.
Airbus A310 Derivatives - MRTT
The Airbus Industrie MRTT
(MultiRole Tanker Transport) is a variant of the established Airbus
A310-300 or -600 series airframe, which has been proposed and actively
marketed as a European alternative to existing US AAR tankers. At this
time no AAR conversion exists, and significant NRE would be incurred.
This aircraft falls below the Boeing 767 in offload performance and
would also be marginal in the airlift role.
The remaining large widebody type
to consider is the Boeing 747. Part 2 will explore the significant
potential of the 747 in the strategic tanker/transport role.
For
representative images refer:
Figure 1.
RAAF/Boeing 707-338C tanker. The RAAF's extant fleet of four Mk.32B pod
equipped 707s provide a training and limited operational capability to
support the F/A-18A. Fitted with thirsty sixties technology fans, they
burn around 15,000 lb/hr, yet lacking lower deck fuel cells they
provide poor offload performance against the similar KC-135R, and
lacking a boom they cannot refuel the regionally important F-16 and the
RAAF F-111. Interestingly, a late seventies upgrade proposal for the
KC-135 would have seen the retrofit of the larger 707 wing, but the
USAF settled for the life extension of the existing wing.
Figure 2.
Boeing KC-135R Stratotanker. The Stratotanker is the backbone of the
USAF's tanker fleet, providing a fast airframe and respectable offload
performance. The aircraft have undergone a major program to replace
lower wing skins, the retrofit of CFM-56 engines, and are now being
retrofitted with glass cockpits under the Pacer CRAG program. Some
aircraft have received a new design boom, and the fleet is being
progressively retrofitted with new, safe dry running fuel pumps. At
this time the only concern is the possible impact of airframe corrosion
on fleet life,
Table 1.
Table 2.
Table 3.
Figure 3.
Boeing KC-10A Extender (USAF).
The USAF
operates 60 KC-10A Extender aircraft, to supplement the KC-135. The
KC-10 is a genuine strategic tanker, and has adequate freight handling
capacity to usefully supplement the USAF's C-5, C-141 and C-17 fleets.
Standard KC-10A are equipped with a boom and single hose drum units,
while airframes are also plumbed and wired for wing mounted Mk.32B
pods. A major issue for the USAF will be supporting the fleet after
2010, as the commercial operator base collapses with the retirement of
much of the commercial fleet.
Figure 4.
RNeAF Boeing KDC-10-30CF (Boeing).
The Royal
Netherlands Air Force operates several converted DC-10-30CF tanker
transports to support their F-16 fleet. These aircraft provide much
lower offload performance than USAF KC-10As, due to the absence of
lower deck fuel cells. Like the KC-10A, support costs for this type are
expected to increase in coming years.
Figure 5.
Boeing KC-767 Tanker/Transport (Boeing)
The KC-767 has yet to fly, but is being actively marketed by Boeing.
This aircraft provides a respectable unit replacement for the KC-135R,
offering slightly better offload performance and significantly better
freight capacity. Its limitation in the Australian context is offload
performance, since a fleet size of 20-25 aircraft would be required,
and freight handling size, limited by the low ceiling height to smaller
vehicles and palletised freight. Strategic Tanker/Transports for
Australia
Part 2 The Boeing KC-25/KC-747 Strategic
Tanker/Transport
In Part 1 of this two part series we explored the evolving strategic
context in South East Asia and identified a developing need for
Australia's RAAF to acquire a substantial strategic/tanker transport
force. Analysis indicates that about 12-16 large widebodies would
provide a good fit for deterrence operations, long range maritime
strike, air support of regional peacekeeping deployments, and the
airlift and ongoing resupply of a brigade sized ground force element.
Applying a basic list of criteria
against available airframe in the commercial market indicates that the
767 and Airbus 310 derivatives are too small. DC-10 and Tristar
derivatives will be difficult to support in Australia, moreso beyond
2010 when commercial fleets begin to down-size, despite the adequate
performance of these types as tankers. The only remaining type in the
required size and performance class is the Boeing 747, and this
aircraft is the subject of this final part of the series.
The Boeing 747 family of aircraft
is used both by Qantas and Ansett in Australia, and Air New Zealand.
Qantas flies it in passenger and freighter variants. The Boeing 747
design is a derivative of a sixties Boeing proposal for a military
airlifter, which lost out to the Lockheed C-5A Galaxy. The aircraft was
later evaluated against the DC-10 as part of the USAF Advanced Tanker /
Cargo Aircraft program, losing out to the McDonnell Douglas KC-10A
proposal despite its superior performance. Photographs exist of the 747
refuelling even the SR-71A during these trials.
Several AAR boom and receptacle
equipped 747-100B tankers were supplied to Iran during the mid to late
seventies, these including lower deck fuel tanks, and two US military
variants exist with AAR refuelling receptacles.
The conversion package for Iran
was performed with the expectation that other clients would be found,
and a full production standard documentation package was generated as a
result. Therefore a current retrofit of the basic KC-135 boom to the
747 incurs minimal Non Recurring Expenditure (NRE). The Iranian
aircraft employed an operator with direct view as per the KC-135
design, but located behind a recessed rear fuselage window in the aft
pressure bulkhead, rather than in a protruding fairing as used by the
KC-135.
A cheaper alternative to produce,
at the expense of some NRE, would be the remotely operated boom as used
on the KDC-10-30CF. The "classic" KC-135 boom was recently
re-engineered in a number of areas to employ current production
techniques such as extrusion rather than riveting. Booms supplied on
recently delivered KC-135R conversions have been based on this newer
implementation which would be used in any new build 747 retrofit.
The lower deck volume of the
-100/200/300 and -400 models available for container freight provides
ample space for additional auxiliary fuel cells, which would be
essential to extract the full offload potential of the aircraft as a
tanker. Since intercontinental variants of the 747 carry a generous
internal fuel load, at MTOW for most variants only about 20 to 40
tonnes would need to be carried in auxiliary lower deck fuel cells,
with crossfeed from the main tank employed.
A typical implementation for a
lower deck fuel cell would resemble a reduced height LD2 type freight
container. Without potentially expensive structural reinforcement of
the lower lobe floor, the auxiliary fuel cells are weight rather than
volume limited. The aggregate gross weight limit for fore and aft lower
lobe compartments is 47.7 tonnes, assuming an evenly distributed load,
which bounds the available capacity of lower deck tanks. The US FAA
requires the tanks withstand loads of 9G. Typical contemporary
implementation employs a rigid double walled tank design, rather than
the older " fuel bladder inside a metal box" style.
Offload performance at a 1,900
NMI radius would be about 95 tonnes of fuel or better, for a Combi or
Freighter configuration with lower deck auxiliary fuel cells. Such
performance is superior to the KC-10A.
US military 747-200B variants are
designated C-25A, such as the VC-25A "Air Force One". The designation
C-19A is reserved for 747-100 aircraft committed to the CRAF scheme.
Therefore a 747-200B tanker/transport variant could be designated a
"KC-25A", with a different suffix applied for a different 747 variant,
examples being a "KC-25B" for 747-SP model or a "KC-25C" for a 747-300
model.
A simple measure of the Boeing
747 against other established tankers is that it delivers offload
performance potentially superior and payload-range superior to the
KC-10A Extender, yet it is fast like the KC-135R or Boeing 707 tankers,
cruising at 0.84-0.85 Mach.
Therefore this aircraft is the
only type which satisfies the requirement of an existing domestic
operator base, the requirement for an established boom equipped AAR
conversion, and delivers the long range AAR offload performance and
volumetric requirements needed for the strategic AAR and airlift roles,
respectively.
Freighter conversions of the four
basic versions are very widely used in the commercial air freight
market, indeed the current industry trend is for older 747-100 and -200
airframes to be retrofitted into freighter configuration by the
addition of a large aft fuselage Side Cargo Door (SCD), and
installation of the freighter floor. Designated a 747 "Special
Freighter" (747SF or 747-100SF/200SF), conversions are performed by
Boeing Wichita, GATX-Airlog, Pemco Aeroplex, Israel Aircraft Industries
and HAECO with costs depending on the scope of the conversion package.
Typical costs are between USD 12M and 20M per airframe.
Boeing 747-100 and 747-200
Five basic models of this
aircraft exist, manufactured from about 1970. The 747-100 and -200 are
the oldest models and given accrued airframe fatigue many airframes may
not be a viable consideration for a large long term investment given
the cost of airframe life extension. The last -200F freighters were
built during the early nineties and may have acceptable fatigue life.
Typically the fatigue life of older 747s can be extended through
Section 41 reworks, and Pylon and D checks, with the cost of such a
work package reaching up to USD 10M per aircraft. Engine overhauls
typically cost USD 1.5M each at intervals of 1,200 to 1,500 cycles. The
market value of 747-100 and older -200 aircraft varies between USD 4.6M
and 7.7M, with later build 747-200 variants commanding between USD 13.8
and 26.2M apiece.
Boeing 747-300
The 747-300 is the extended upper
deck variant of the late build -200B airframe, manufactured between the
early eighties and nineties. With the advent of the extended range -400
model, the demand for this model in the commercial market has declined
and it is readily available, while accrued fatigue life will be modest
for examples flown mostly on long haul routes. Of particular interest
is the fact that at this time there is a glut of used 747-200B/C and
-300B/CF aircraft in the market, of which a good proportion are Combis,
which are already fitted with the large SCD freight door and would thus
incur lower costs to convert to a tanker/transport configuration.
Typical unit costs fall between USD 39.4 and 50.8M, but will vary with
the age, condition and fit of the aircraft. Given the saturation of the
market, it may be feasible to acquire aircraft at prices well below the
actual value of the aircraft.
The extended upper deck on the
747-300 series aircraft provides the means of carrying up to 85 economy
class passenger seats in addition to main deck freight, but does so at
the expense of reducing the ceiling height of the main deck fore of the
wing, thereby imposing some limits on the carriage of taller freight
items. A 747-300 is thus more flexible in terms of its ability to mix
freight and troop loads, but is less flexible in the mix of freight
item sizes it can accommodate, in comparison with a 747-200 derivative.
Boeing 747-400
The 747-400 is the current
production model, introduced in the early nineties, available in
passenger, Combi and Freighter versions. It features the extended upper
deck of the -300, and a new extended wing, fitted with winglets. Since
it is available either new build, or with a service life under 10
years, fatigue life is not an issue for the 747-400 at this time.
The 747-400 offers the best load
carrying performance of any 747 variant, but its larger MTOW imposes
the need for better runways, and due to its large wingspan ground
handling can be an issue on some sites. It is also expensive in the
used aircraft market, as it remains strongly in demand, with typical
used aircraft worth between USD 92.5M and 158.5M.
Boeing 747-SP
The Boeing 747-SP is a high
performance, lightweight, long range variant, manufactured between 1976
and the late eighties. Only 45 were built. The aircraft was
specifically designed for very long range, low load factor routes, as a
replacement for the long range variants of the Boeing 707. It employs a
shortened fuselage, lighter structure and enlarged tail surfaces. Until
the advent of the extended range -200B variants and the -400 it was the
747 variant with the best range performance.
As the -400 has penetrated into
the commercial market, the demand for the 747-SP has fallen very
strongly and as of July, 1999, seven were in storage and four
dismantled for structural spares. Qantas continues to operate two
examples. No less than fifteen 747-SPs are currently on the market,
including some VIP transports, with a unit cost cited between USD 5.3M
and 7.7M apiece37. Because of the poor profitability of the 747-SP on
most routes, it is considered to be worth more as scrap than as an
commercial asset. As the 747-SP was almost exclusively used for long
haul operations, the number of cycles on the airframes will mostly be
excellent, in relation to the age and accrued flight hours of the
aircraft, typically between 9,000 and 13,000 cycles on aircraft aged
around 18 years. Such numbers are more typical for 747 aircraft of
12-15 years of age.
However, the general condition of
many of the available aircraft is unclear, and considerable
refurbishment, and corrosion repair effort may be required in addition
to the required AAR hardware modifications. Providing that candidate
airframes are adequately investigated prior to purchase, this risk can
be managed reasonably precisely.
The 747-SP has the best short
field take off performance of any 747 variant. Most large widebodies
require about 3,100 metres of runway, the 747-SP typically requires
2,350 to 2,750 metres at MTOW, reflecting the lower MTOW and load
carrying performance of this variant.
As a tanker the 747-SP provides
an internal fuel capacity of 148 to 153 tonnes, and lower lobe floor
strength to accommodate about 30 tonnes of auxiliary fuel. Given
existing MTOW limits on the aircraft this yields about 74-80 tonnes of
offload at 1,900 NMI which is competitive performance against the
KC-10A. Clearing the aircraft for a 4% increase in MTOW would bring
offload closer to 85 tonnes under these conditions.
The limitation of the 747-SP as a
tanker/transport airframe is its low structural payload limit of 38
tonnes in the standard configuration, and the need to perform a Combi
or Freighter conversion, neither of which were standard build options.
A production option was an increased structural payload limit of 45
tonnes, and it may be feasible to further improve upon this. The issue
is thus the NRE of such structural work, and the NRE associated with
adapting the standard 747-200/300/400 freight floor and SCD
installation. Given the low cost of basic airframes, such modifications
are well worth exploring, especially since they are based upon standard
components used in the 747-200B/CF/300CF freighter conversions.
In terms of initial acquisition
costs and performance as a pure tanker, the most suitable 747 variant
is the 747-SP. With lower deck fuel cells its offload performance is
competitive against the KC-10A, yet the cost of the basic airframe is
1/4 to 1/3 of current DC-10-30CF costs, and it offers superior short
field performance and cruise speed. This competitive advantage must be
balanced against its limited performance as a freighter, typically of
the order of 40% to 50% of the structurally limited payload of a
747-200/300 series aircraft, and 50% to 60% of a KC-10A aircraft.
Biasing the requirement toward
airlift, and factoring in availability and fatigue life, the most
suitable 747 variants for a strategic tanker/transport role would be
the 747-200B/CF/300CF, should examples with suitable maintenance
histories be selected.
An issue for any Boeing 747 AAR
tanker conversion will be the provision of hose/drogue refuelling
hardware, as no current user (Iran) has had such fitted. The simplest
alternative is the installation of one or two fuselage hose/drum unit,
in a manner akin to the KC-10A or RAF Lockheed Tristar, preferably
using the same hardware. Refuelling of the C-130J and larger RAF assets
imposes the constraint that such a fuselage installation be used.
The need for redundant
hose/drogue systems to account for possible failures enroute indicates
that the preferred configuration would employ either a pair of fuselage
hose/drum units, or a three point arrangement with a single fuselage
hose/drum unit and a pair of wing mounted Mk.32B pods as used on the
RAAF's Boeing 707-338Cs. The latter would be more attractive
operationally but a much more expensive choice since the overheads of
design, wing modification to accommodate fuel lines, and flight testing
would be incurred.
The Engineering, Manufacturing
and Development contract for adding wing-mounted "hose and drogue"
refueling pods to the KC-135R Stratotanker cost approximately USD
24.4M. The cost of conversion kits to fit Mk.32B pods to USAF KC-135R
aircraft is about USD 2.55M per aircraft, excluding the cost of the
pods. The cost for a KC-25/747 kit would be slightly higher due to the
longer fuel lines required. Given that Boeing have performed the
adaptation of both the KC-135R and KC-10A for wing mounted Mk.32B pods
for the USAF, it is reasonable to assume that much of the design work
could be directly adapted to a KC-25/747 design, thereby reducing the
magnitude of the NRE required. The all up cost of equipping a dozen
KC-25/747 aircraft with pods would be thus of the order of USD 50M,
excluding the cost of 24 pods and appropriate spare components.
The 747 as an Airlifter
A very attractive aspect of the
standard Boeing 747-200CF/300CF and 400F Combi and Freighter
conversions is the size of the standard rear fuselage SCD freight door.
It provides a vertical clearance suitable for a 3 metre high load, and
a horizontal clearance suitable for a 2.5 metre wide load. The door is
3.4 metres wide, but some allowance must be made for swinging the load
around as it is inserted. Refer Table 1. for comparison with the C-130,
C-141, C-5 and C-17.
The floor width is 6.13 metres,
which means that on paper both the standard ASLAV and M-113 can be
loaded, albeit with some care required during insertion. Clearances
will need to be verified by a load check since the ASLAV is 18 cm wider
and 45 cm longer than the standard 2.44 x 6.05 metre freight pallete.
Specialised variants of the ASLAV, such as the command vehicle and
ambulance may not fit through the 747 freight door due to their bulkier
and higher profile.
Unlike a conventional military
airlifter allowing Roll-On/Roll-Off (RORO) loading, the Boeing 747
would require that the ASLAV be first tied on to a 6.05 metre pallete,
and then handled and loaded into the aircraft as if it were an 11
tonne, 6.05 metre contoured freight container. A forklift would be used
to load empty palletes on to the loader, for roll-on loading of the
vehicle on to the pallete. Once the vehicle is secured to the pallete
it may be loaded into the aircraft. For unloading, the "palletised"
vehicle is released off the pallete and driven away, and a forklift is
used to remove the empty pallete from the loader.
Since the vehicle is slightly
longer than the standard pallete size, the locked down positions of the
pallete would have to be slightly different to a standard load of 6.05
metre containers or palletes. On paper, this arrangement would allow
four or more ASLAVs to be loaded, side by side, together with other
freight.
Unlike conventional military
airlifters which have loading ramps and a very low floor height, the
Boeing 747 requires specialised support equipment for loading and
unloading. The height of the 747 main deck is between 4.67 and 5.33
metres, depending on the weight of the aircraft. Therefore, if the
aircraft were to be operated into airfields which are not equipped to
handle containerised freight, such equipment would need to be either
prepositioned, carried in by the 747 strategic transport, or delivered
by other aircraft prior to the arrival of the 747 strategic transports.
Ground based loading equipment may be fully mobile container handling
equipment like the 30 tonne capacity USAF/SEI 60K Tunner, or the 13
tonne capacity SEI 25K loader series, or much cheaper collapsible frame
container and pallete elevators, like those employed by the USAF with
the KC-10A. Fully mobile loaders are the most flexible in use but more
difficult to deploy, e.g. the USAF Tunner requires either C-141, C-5 or
C-17 lift. Smaller loaders are compatible with the C-130.
New build Boeing
747-200CF/300CF/400F Freighters and many Combis have been delivered
with a lifting Nose Door, similar in concept to that used on the C-5
Galaxy. This door has size limitations, primarily the vertical
clearance limit of 2.49 metres imposed by the floor of the cockpit and
upper deck section. This is inadequate for the ASLAV but may be
sufficient for the M-113. It would however be convenient for
roll-on/roll-off loading and unloading of 4WD vehicles and smaller
trucks with heights under 2.45 metres, using a loader to lift them
level with the aircraft main deck.
The Freighter/Combi Nose Door is
however attractive insofar as it allows the aircraft, with minor
modifications, to carry the Boeing On Board Loader device, which is
stowed in the nose of the aircraft and deployed once on the ground to
provide autonomous freight handling. This device takes 30 minutes to
deploy or stow, weighs 6.6 tonnes and can handle payloads of up to 13.6
tonnes. When stowed it displaces two 2.44 x 6.05 metre containers or
6.7% of main deck capacity. The Boeing On Board Loader may be
disconnected from the aircraft nose and used as a free standing loader.
It is designed to load and unload 2.44 x 6.05 metre palletes or
containers, using either the Nose Door or the Side Cargo Door. The
loader is powered from the aircraft's electrical system at either door,
or by a ground based generator.
An interesting side note is that
the design of the loader was paid for by the Iraqi national airline
during the late eighties. They were the sole client for this piece of
equipment. We can but speculate upon reasons for the Iraqis wanting to
be able to load and unload large 13 tonne containers at unprepared
sites.
This loader is not suitable in
its basic configuration for the handling of the ASLAV and M-113 and
would require some design changes for this purpose. Slight modification
of the loader design to increase its width and length would thus be
required. Nominal time to load or unload an aircraft using this device
is about one hour, assuming the device is already deployed.
An important limitation of the
Nose Door is that the nose refuelling receptacle design would need to
be adapted to use a flexible or articulated connection to the fixed
fuel lines in the forward fuselage, or shifted above the cockpit,
thereby incurring some additional NRE.
The feasibility of retrofitting
the Nose Door as part of the freight modification needs to be further
investigated, as this would provide more flexibility in the choice of
airframes which otherwise must be selected from the limited pool of
Nose Door equipped Combis available in the marketplace. Another
alternative is to rework the design of the Boeing On Board Loader to
allow it to be deployed from the SCD rather than the Nose Door. The
final option is a mixed fleet with only some aircraft fitted with the
Nose Door.
There may be some scope for
faster reconfiguration time between the airlift and troop carrying
configuration, by using dedicated 2.44 x 6.05 metre palletes fitted
with fixed canvas troop seats, rather than commercial Combi airliner
seating. This could be implemented in a manner which saves considerable
weight, against commercial seating, thereby allowing more troops and
freight to be loaded into the aircraft.
A simple measure of the Boeing
747-200CF/300CF/400F as an airlifter is that it provides payload range
performance in the class of a C-5 Galaxy, but its freight loading door
limits payload items to sizes similar to those carried by a C-130
Hercules or C-141 Starlifter. With the exception of length, the Boeing
747 SCD can handle items slightly larger than either the C-130 or
C-141. Therefore any Army assets air portable by C-130 will almost
certainly be portable by 747, thereby taking a significant load off the
RAAF C-130 fleet.
Its principal limitation in
comparison with purpose built airlifters is inferior short field
performance, greater runway strength required, and the need for
external loaders. For bulk strategic airlift of personnel and
palletised freight into secure areas with suitable surfaces, using the
C-130 for forward distribution, the 747 outperforms all airlifters
other than the C-5.
Crew and Passenger Access
An issue of some inconvenience is
the absence of a door or hatch and internal ladder for crew and
passenger access to the aircraft at sites without appropriately sized
boarding facilities for airliners. The solution is to employ a
modification used on the USAF's Boeing E-4B NEACP airborne command post
and the VC-25A VIP aircraft. These aircraft carry a deployable set of
airstairs stowed in the forward lower lobe cargo bay.
Installing deployable airstairs
would remove at least one fuel cell in the forward bay. Given the load
carrying capacity of the lower lobe lobe floor and MTOW limits in both
the 747-200B/CF/300CF and 747-SP models, this would not impair the
potential offload performance, as a single cell amounts to 10% or less
of the lower deck capacity.
Integration of the deployable
airstairs will render some small portion of the main deck floor above
the forward lower lobe cargo bay unusable for freight, so as to provide
space for a hatch to access the airstairs. Since retractable stairs
must be installed to provide access between the main deck and the upper
deck, these should be located adjacent to the hatch to the airstairs to
minimise the loss to main deck floor space.
The airstairs provide the ability
to load and unload passengers, as well as providing access for the
crew, regardless of site facilities and should be a serious
consideration for all aircraft in the fleet.
Implementation Issues
While a Boeing 747 based
strategic tanker/transport is not the ideal solution for the strategic
airlift requirement, it is an excellent basic platform for a strategic
tanker, it is readily available via the modification of units from the
large pool of used commercial airframes, and it is much more affordable
than any new build alternative.
In terms of variants, it would
appear that a mix of 747-SP and 747-200B/CF/300CF models, given
examples of suitable condition can be located, would be the most
practical choice.
The 747-200B/CF/300CF is the
better strategic tanker and transport by virtue of its higher MTOW,
better offload performance and ability to carry heavy freight. The
747-SP offers much lower initial acquisition costs, and slightly lower
fuel burn47. It also offers better operational flexibility per total
fleet offload performance and better short field performance, with the
limitations of slightly lower unit offload performance, the inability
to carry freight without modification and similar crewing and support
requirements to the 747-200/300.
Therefore the 747-200/300 offers
a better longer term return on investment, with a much greater initial
acquisition cost. The proportions of any mixed fleet would therefore
have to be based upon a careful analysis of the point in the fleet
lifecycle where the difference in initial acquisition cost favouring
the 747-SP is balanced by the lower return in airlift capability given
similar crewing and support costs.
Determining the number of
aircraft to provide the capability will require some detailed modelling
of AAR performance for the ranges in question, and some analysis of the
airlift requirement. A first order estimate indicates that between 12
and 14 747-200/300 aircraft would be required, depending on the offload
performance achievable for a given configuration, runway capabilities
available and aircraft empty weight after the installation of AAR
hardware and freight modifications. For the same fleet offload
performance, 12 to 16 747-SP aircraft would be required. Some spares
would be required.
The 747-200/300 could be,
according to Boeing-Wichita information, modified into a freight
configuration with a lead time of only several months.
Conversion for this dual role
capability would require the following modifications:
- Installation of an AAR boom and operators' station.
- Installation of two fuselage hose/drum/drogue units, or a
single fuselage hose/drum/drogue unit and a pair of wing mounted Mk.32B
pods.
- Installation of AAR fuel pumps, valves, manifolds, plumbing
and operator controls.
- Installation of lower deck auxiliary fuel cells.
- Installation of AAR receptacle for tanker-to-tanker
refuelling.
- Installation of single point ground refuelling receptacle
for lower deck auxiliary fuel cells.
- Installation of the forward lower deck internally stowed
airstairs and retractable upper deck stairs.
- Installation of at least two observers' bubble windows,
replacing aft upper deck windows.
- Installation of dual TACAN beacons and formation lighting.
- Installation of military UHF communications equipment,
preferably with crypto capability, IFF and JTIDS equipment.
- Installation of military GPS navigation equipment.
- Installation of IFF interrogator.
- Installation of a suitable intercom system.
- Installation of Echidna RWR and DECM package, possibly also
IRCM on engine pylons49.
- Installation of the Side Cargo Door if not already fitted.
- Strengthening of the main deck floor to freighter standard
and installation of freight handling hardware.
- For aircraft with extant Nose Door installations,
modification to support the Boeing On Board Loader, and supply of these
devices, modified as required.
Serious consideration should be
given to the use of a standard configuration, if possible, whereby all
aircraft are fitted with the airstairs, Nose and Side Cargo Doors, the
Boeing On Board Loader, and refuelling receptacles.
Whether to retrofit the aircraft
cockpits to a current standard "glass cockpit" arrangement is open to
debate. While this would increase the unit conversion cost, it offers
the longer term economy of a two person flight crew, against a three
person flight crew, assuming a dedicated AAR operator. Given that most
commercial models now have glass cockpits, maintenance of currency for
reservists flying commercial models would indicate that a glass cockpit
would be preferable. This would also provide the opportunity to
standardise the inertial navigation and communications equipment fit
across the fleet. A FANS compatible system would be desirable.
There may be some merit in
retrofitting all aircraft to a common engine type, should airframes of
suitable quality not be fitted with such. Qantas will be well equipped
to advise on the performance and idiosyncrasies in supporting specific
engine types. Overhauled used engines of suitable quality may be
acceptable, since the aircraft in RAAF service would not be operated at
the tempo of a commercial operator outside periods of war or other
contingencies.
The commercial aspect of such an
acquisition is of modest complexity, since with the exception of the
AAR conversion, multiple sources exist for freight conversions,
airframe life extension and engine overhaul or retrofit. The only
extant and flight tested AAR conversion was performed by Boeing. While
other vendors such as IAI may be competent to engineer an AAR
conversion, they will incur the full engineering overheads and
development risks of a new design.
Therefore Boeing will have a
significant competitive advantage over any other vendor, and this may
also be true of a comprehensive modification package incorporating all
changes.
There may be considerable
potential for domestic offsets by performing portions of the structural
work and modification at the Avalon facility, which has the runway and
hangar sizes required. ASTA performed structural work on 747 aircraft
some years ago.
Whether the best strategy is to
release an RFP for the supply of fully modified 747 aircraft to a
specified configuration, and place responsibility for the choice of
airframes upon the vendor, or to acquire the aircraft directly off the
commercial suppliers, and then release an RFP for the modifications
remains to be determined. We could expect that shifting the burden on
to the vendors will have some impact on the price tag as they would
want to cover any risks they might incur. The availability of suitable
airframes and pricing in the market will vary and this should be a
consideration, since the pool of available aircraft and prices will
fluctuate as older airframes are absorbed into the freighter market.
The total expense for the
acquisition phase of the program would comprise the cost of the used
airframes, the cost of any re-engining, zero-timing and corrosion
repair, the total cost of the required AAR, and where applicable,
freighter modifications as detailed above. Since the program would
involve a reasonable number of aircraft, some economies of scale in the
production phase could be achieved.
This issue of which runways to
upgrade, and whether to include them in a project budget, is an
interesting one. Strategically the two most important sites are Darwin
for airlift and air support of peacekeeping forces, and Learmonth for
deterrence and maritime operations. Neither would require substantial
runway work to support operational detachments, although some upgrades
to the fuel replenishment infrastructure may be needed to sustain high
intensity operations.
Learmonth would require a modest
10% runway extension to support the 747-200/300 at MTOW. The runway
strength at Curtin is not adequate for high gross weight operations,
and its remoteness makes the resupply of large quantities of fuel to
support tanker deployment difficult. Darwin would provide a better
runway than Tindal for 747-200/300 operations. Townsville would require
a new parallel runway rated for the 747, while Amberley could operate
the aircraft with some gross weight limitations applied. All of the
major civilian airports in Australian capitals could support the
aircraft.
Amberley would appear to be the
best prospect, with weight limits imposed, for a squadron home base
capable of supporting training flights only.
From a practical perspective, the
full MTOW capacity will be required only for long range or long
endurance AAR operations, or for heavy lift transport operations. The
former category of operations is geographically confined primarily to
Learmonth and Darwin, both of which have adequate runways. The latter
category would be confined mostly to Darwin and Townsville.
Crewing the aircraft will be a
major issue. If we assume a fleet size of twelve aircraft, with a glass
cockpit and two person flight crew, and assume two sets of crews for
the fleet, we end up with a requirement for 48 pilots, of which half
are qualified as aircraft commanders. Maintaining currency, given the
hourly operating costs of such aircraft, would be by any measure
expensive. Simulators, no matter how good, are not a substitute for
time in a real cockpit.
Therefore it will be necessary to
explore other alternatives. One possibility worth exploring is that of
hiring out the aircrew to the airlines, at such a rate where the offer
is attractive to commercial operators. The contractual arrangement
would be such that these pilots would fly regular operations for the
airline in the same manner as the aircrew employed by the airline,
however they could be recalled by the RAAF at very short notice to crew
the strategic tanker/transport fleet.
Such a strategy has several
attractions. The first is that it is an unbeatable attraction in the
recruiting game, for those applicants with long term aspirations of a
airline career. The second is that the crews get to maintain a high
level of currency on the basic aircraft, and long haul overseas flight
experience in the process. For the airlines, there is the advantage of
simplified recruiting of junior pilots, who will have acquired their ab
initio, early flight training and some multi-engine time in the very
rigourous RAAF training regime. Contractual arrangements would need to
be such, that the airline can recoup the training investment in such
aircrew after they complete their service in the RAAF. The arrangement
would have to be such to make "poaching" of such aircrew impossible
before their contracted service periods run out. The aircrew would
periodically fly the RAAF aircraft to maintain proficiency in AAR
flight operations, but would gather most of their hours on commercial
aircraft.
Conclusions
This paper argues the case for
the acquisition and deployment of a substantial strategic
tanker/transport force for Australia, comprising a fleet of modified
variants of the Boeing 747 transport.
The Boeing 747 makes for an
excellent strategic tanker, but not an ideal airlifter. However it is
the only aircraft type which will allow Australia to deploy a large
strategic tanker/transport force with a modest initial expenditure,
while exploiting the established training and support base.
To provide a general measure of
capability, one dozen 747-200B/C/300CF derivative KC-25 strategic
tanker/transports provide the cruise speed and offload performance
equivalent to around thirty KC-135R tankers, and can lift the payloads
of a dozen C-17A airlifters over about a 60% greater distance, all at
about 1/3 of the total acquisition cost of the combined packages of
KC-135R and C-17A aircraft. A mixed KC-25 fleet including some 747-SP
derivatives yields similar offload performance and lesser airlift
performance, with even lower acquisition costs. A mixed fleet of C-17A
and KC-25s yields inferior offload performance, but would provide a
superb airlift capability, with a penalty in acquisition costs.
In summary it is fair to say that
the strengths of the 747-200B/CF/300CF and 747-SP as a strategic
tanker/transport outweigh its limitations, especially in comparison
with other alternatives derived from commercial airframes. While its
weaknesses are most prominent in the airlift role, it performs this
role far better than other commercial types.
Whether Australia's political
leadership is prepared to commit to a strategic tanker/transport force
of the required size remains to be seen. The case for this capability
is irrefutable from a political and military strategic perspective, and
the economics are clearly within Australia's budgetary reach, should
the 747 be used as the basic platform.
Acknowledgments:
This paper is based primarily on RAAF APSC Working Paper 82, to be
published early in 2000. The author gratefully acknowledges the
assistance of S/L Murray Warfield (ret) of Qantas, who originated this
idea, the RAAF School of Air Navigation at Sale, Capt Kurt Todoroff,
USAF (ret), Capt Perry Beor, Army Reserve, and Boeing Australia for
their advice and assistance with this project.
For
representative images refer:
Figure 1.
Imperial Iranian Air Force (IIAF) Boeing KC-25/ KC-747-100 Strategic
Tanker/Transport refuelling an IIAF 747-100 (Boeing).
Figure 2.
KC-135R Improved Refuelling Boom structural assembly (Boeing).
Figure 3. The
IIAF KC-25/KC-747-100 boom installation under test. This is an
unusually clean installation, with the operator's station recessed in
the fuselage. Note the fuselage stiffeners (Boeing).
Figure 4.
Comparison of proposed Boeing KC-25/747 Variants (EPS Author).
Figure 5.
Boeing KC-25 (747-200/300CF) Tanker/Transport Refuelling Points
Figure 6.
Boeing 747 Main Deck Geometry for ASLAV
Figure 7.
KC-10A Freight Loaders (USAF).
Figure 8.
Boeing 747-200F Freighter Nose Door installation being used for
container loading. Lufthansa were the lead customer for the 747-100F
and remain a major user of the 747-400F (Lufthansa).
Figure 9. The
VC-25A and E-4B both carry internal airstairs to provide crew and
passenger access at sites without airliner boarding facilities.The
airstairs deploy from the forward cargo door (USAF).
Figure
10. Comparison of Boeing KC-25 (747-200CF/300CF) and GD F/RF-111C/G
sizes (Author).
Figure 11. Boeing On-Board Loader (Boeing).
|