In December 2001 the DoD
released the Joint Airborne Electronic Attack Analysis of Alternatives
(AEA AoA) document, which distills the findings of a team comprisising
more than 180 specialists across the armed services, DoD and industry.
The unclassified summary document
(refer JED March '02 p26) underscores the difficulty in reconciling the
EA role against a complex multiservice force structure. In this month's
feature JED will explore some of the deeper strategic and technological
challenges the US faces in providing the vital EA capability.
EA, Platforms and Paradigms
Until the 1998 retirement of the USAF's EF-111A Raven fleet,
support jamming was a specialised capability in the land based USAF and
CV based Navy/USMC force structure. While the core Tactical Jamming
System (TJS), the Eaton/AIL AN/ALQ-99 was substantially common, its
mode of deployment into combat was unique to its respective users, with
the Navy operating its dedicated EA-6B Prowler fleet.
How the two services came to operate variants of one TJS on
very different platforms is a reflection of the trend well established
by the 1970s, of taking the core theatre strike asset then in use and
adapting it to carry the jamming payload. The USAF's EB-66 and Navy
operated EKA-3 support jammers were land and CV based variants of the
one airframe. By the early 1970s the last vestiges of commonality in
platforms vanished as the Navy deployed the EA-6A and then
substantially re-engineered 4 seat EA-6B, while the USAF rebuilt over
40 F-111A bombers into the superlative EF-111A Raven.
The parallel model of EA capabilities was a good fit to the
environment of the latter Cold War period. The EA-6B was well matched
in performance to the A-6E, the Navy's core strike asset, while the
EF-111A fit very closely with the USAF's F-111E/F wings based in the UK
and very much the backbone of the NATO strike force.
This fit worked well both in logistical terms due to
substantial commonalities in support infrastructure, but also in
tactical terms as closely matched climb, cruise and penetration
performance and capabilities facilitated escort jamming as well as
standoff jamming. Economies of scale implicit in the operation of
jammer variants of the mainstream tactical bomb truck alleviated the
total cost of operating the respective jammer fleets.
This model began to unravel over the last decade, with the
massive force structure downsizing following the collapse of the Soviet
Bear. The Navy's A-12 foundered and died, leaving the Navy without a
medium bomber type as the increasingly less survivable A-6E was
phased out. The USAF, threatened with repeated F-22 cancellations and
the concurrent pressure to accept new build F-15Es and F-16Cs to keep
the industrial base alive, progressively retired all four F-111 strike
variants - even though the F-111's other user, Australia, plans to
operate them to 2020 or beyond.
The retirement of the A-6E and F-111A/D/E/F changed the whole
context of the EA/SJ capability in the evolving force structure model.
Neither the USAF nor the USN/USMC now operates a medium bomber type -
the role having been subsumed with varying degrees of success by
multirole fighters, ie the F-15E Beagles, F-16C Lawn Darts,
F/A-18C/D Bugs and F-14B/D Bombcats. The EF-111A and the EA-6B
became specialised platforms without the economic advantages of a
large base of bombers using common basic airframes, bomb-nav systems,
propulsion, electrical, hydraulics and defensive EW equipment.
The disappearance of the medium bomber class is significant,
since this category of aircraft carried sufficient internal fuel to
provide very good in theatre loiter performance, vital for persistent
suppression of hostile emitters, yet was also survivable enough to
operate at the boundaries or indeed inside a hostile integrated air
defence system. The inverse square law of the J/S equation is operative
here, since the closer a jammer of a given power rating is to the
target emitter, they better the J/S ratio.
While the emergence of low observable or stealth
capabilities remains the most important single development in defence
penetration capabilities since the advent of radar, stealth is not a
Romulan invisibility cloak and even stealthy types benefit from
support jamming, especially against low band radars which may be
capable of some measure of detection performance where shorter
wavelength radars are impotent. Therefore the EA role remains useful,
and with large fleets of non-stealthy legacy teen series fighters and
heavy bombers in service until 2040, will be critical to force
survivability until an all stealth combat aircraft fleet is fielded.
An EA platform carrying a TJS package should be highly
survivable in contested air space, since the value of such an asset in
monetary and tactical terms is very high - it is a priority target for
any IADS operator.
The challenge of providing an EA capability after the
retirement of the EA-6B fleet remains daunting. Fighter airframes are
not optimised for persistent loiter in the manner of an EA-6B or
EF-111A, with high aspect ratio 26-27 degree swept wing. This is an
important design optimisation for an aircraft intended to loiter with
many thousand pounds of jamming payload.
The need for good loiter performance in an EA platform has not
diminished with time, the opposite has occurred. With the EA-6B tasked
in Aghanistan with the jamming of hostile battlefield communications
using modified ALQ-99 pods, the demise of an opposing IADS only sees
the EA asset swung into another vital information superiority role.
If we take a long term perspective view of the EA role, the
platform becomes a generic Multirole Electronic Attack asset which
uses its powerful digitally programmable emitter package to cripple any
asset an opponent uses which relies upon RF free space transmissions,
while concurrently using its capable emitter locating package to find,
classify if not fingerprint hostile emitters.
While the deployment of capable ESM systems on future assets
such as the F-22A, smart tankers or MC2A platforms, and derivative
non-kinetic tasked UCAV airframes, may prove to be an excellent means
of finding hostile emitters, the fundamental need to engage them in the
electromagnetic domain will remain. No missile or guided bomb can
travel at the speed of light, imposing a response time limitation on
all kinetic means of engaging a hostile emitter. While High Power
Microwave (HPM) weapons remain a promising means of genuinely lethal
(to Silicon) electromagnetic attack, they too are bounded the inverse
square law imposing the same kinematic limitations of a guided weapon -
the HPM delivery platform has to get close enough to kill the emitter.
If we are to draw long term conclusions about the Electronic
Attack role and its importance, one conclusion is that the evolution
into a more generic Multirole Electronic Attack role is already in
progress (the term Information Attack would better describe this role
but it has already been usurped by the cyberwar community!), while
another is that we can expect to see Moore's Law enabling an increasing
effort by opponents to fuse data - especially from low band radars or
networked emitters in an attempt to counter evolving stealth
capabilities. Therefore the ability to carry a powerful programmable
jamming package into contested airspace will remain important, if not
critical for many combat scenarios.
The Future Force Structure
Problem
How should this be reconciled against the planned future force
structures?
The AEA AOA analysis explores a wide range of alternatives
including UAVs, bizjets, EA-6B, F-15E, F/A-18F, JSF, F-22, B-737,
B-767, B-1B and B-52H derivatives. Yet the public and not-so-public
debate following the release of this analysis does not show highly
decisive preferences. The most likely successor to the Navy's EA-6B
will probably be the EF-18 (F/A-18G) simply as it will be the
standard CV fighter asset, at least until the JSF arrives on a
carrier deck. This aircraft will not provide the kind of survivable
deep penetration capability we will see in the F-22, but is likely to
be adequate for the littoral combat environment central to Navy air
operations.
From a land based air power perspective, the EF-18 is not
particularly competitive against the USAF F-22 which has the ability to
go deep, perform the mission repeatedly and survive no matter how good
the IADS might be - stealth and supersonic cruise are hard to beat.
While a JSF based solution might be viable in terms of subsonic
persistence, it will not have the survivability of an F-22 airframe. If
the intent is to carry an expensive jamming package deep into heavily
defended airspace then an F-22 based solution may be the only viable
choice, especially since the aircraft's kinematic and observables
performance makes it a difficult target for the best S-300/400 series
SAMs - even if cued to the jammer emissions.
The alternative of stand-off jamming using a large airframe or
high flying UAV runs into two key obstacles - the inverse square law
pushes up the size, weight and cost of the jamming package, while the
limited survivability of the platforms constrains their effective
footprint to less than the radio/radar horizon. Mobile S-300/400 style
long range SAMs could push the operating orbits of such EA platforms
well back from the FEBA, further exacerbating the inverse square law
constraints.
The Global Strike Task Force (GSTF) model envisages the use of
a combined force of F-22As and B-2A penetrating deep inside hostile
airspace, with the F-22 elements sanitising airspace to permit 24
hour operations by the B-2A element. The GSTF is the centre-piece of
USAF strategic planning and could become in the long term the force
structure paradigm for an AEF, should the USAF acquire additional F-22
and B-2C aircraft. In this context an F-22 derived EA capability is a
good force structure fit, even if it does represent a more expensive
basic platform.
The difficulty with any F-22 derived solution will be
persistence. Experience in Aghanistan with 'persistent bombardment' by
B-52H and B-1B heavy bombers [Ed: now termed killbox interdiction]
clearly illustrates that the engagement of dispersed and highly mobile
ground targets such as ballistic missile launchers and SAM systems will
require the ability to loiter in contested airspace. This is an easy
task for a B-2 to perform, but will be challenging even for the large
F-22 which is optimised for supercruise and agility - and arguably puts
the smaller JSF out of the game altogether.
An F-22 derivative with more internal fuel and a variable
cycle engine would fit this role better than the baseline design does,
as it would better fit the GSTF strike roles. However, such a
derivative will incur development costs which in turn exacerbates the
existing political arguments over the aircraft. If the USAF were to
acquire the 750 or so F-22s originally planned, this argument might be
wholly academic - in such a build volume the incremental costs of
modest design alternations would not be decisive.
The force structure issues implicit in providing a credible
and survivable EA capability with the longevity which makes for a good
investment of taxpayer's funding are not trivial problems. The very
limited range of production types in the post 2010 period complicate
this problem very significantly.
The genuine risk is that by adopting expedient or indeed
affordable solutions the US will find itself with a large investment
in assets with poor survivability and thus limited operational
flexibility in the long term, forcing in turn yet another replacement
cycle. The intellectual effort expended in the AEA AOA study
illustrates that this is a problem which is not easily or cheaply
solved.
The central question is that of
what value should be placed upon the EA capability, over the longer
term. With dominance in the information domain becoming an increasingly
central feature of the global warfighting paradigm, the argument that
Multirole Electronic Attack capabilities will progressively increase
in value has much merit. Gazing into the strategic crystal ball is
never easy, but this is one prediction which is unlikely to fail. The
challenge will lie in articulating this reality in terms understood by
parties other than the EW/IW community.